Abortion rights advocates believe Supreme Court battle is over Mississippi’s strict abortion bill Has the potential to change the political script: inspire Democratic voters instead of their historical ability to drive the turnout among Republicans.
What are they saying: “The occasion is that people get angry,” Alexis McGill Johnson, the president of Planned Parenthood told Nerdshala in an interview. “What did we see in Texas, and what will people move away from it? [the Mississippi oral arguments with]”There’s a level of anger that we may live in six months from now in a world where our children have fewer rights than they do now.”
- That anger, McGill Johnson predicted, “is going to add to accountability at the ballot box for those who have led to the position we are in now.”
- She predicted that this would not only happen in the midterm of next November — which would be nearly four months after the court’s expected decision in the Mississippi case — but that the state’s legislative session would begin in January.
- “You’ll see that fury in state homes across the country by 2022,” McGill Johnson said.
What are they saying: Planned Parenthood’s leadership isn’t alone.
- Amanda Brown LearmanSupermajority’s executive director said: “What kind of reconciliation people are having, the importance of abortion as a topic of conversation is just one issue that will drive people into such a difficult election year. “
- Julie Downey, American Bridge Vice President of Strategic Communications at 21st Century dubbed abortion a “wild card” issue, the subject of planning talks between Democratic candidates and operatives plotting the 2022 strategy.
- “We didn’t want to put together a whole plan for the cycle, based on the economic message, if it all blew up in June, and the Supreme Court was overturned. Roe Vs Wade, Or something like that,” Downey told Nerdshala.
Between the lines: Abortion is generally an issue that Republicans have used to energize their base in presidential and statewide elections, especially in red and purple states.
- The recent anti-abortion laws introduced, passed and headed for the Supreme Court – and the high court’s new conservative majority – are changing the political dynamics for Democrats in what was already expected to be a challenging cycle. .
- Three outside Democratic groups — Planned Parenthood, American Bridge and EMILY’s List — have teamed up to research and share abortion messaging with the party.
By numbers: ALG Research and Heart Research Associates test abortion message for Democratic groups in late September and early October.
- Of the more than 1,500 registered Democratic and so-called aspirational voters in states vying for Senate and/or gubernatorial elections next year, 80% said they were more likely to vote for a party candidate who would support abortion decisions than those seeking abortion. Till is in favor of leaving and his doctor.
- This compared to the only 9% who were more likely to support a Republican candidate who supports making abortion illegal.
- This 71-point percentage difference is wider than other key issues voters were surveyed about, including gun rights, climate change and vaccine mandates.
big picture: Democrats are looking exclusively at state executives, like state legislatures and governors. How to protect abortion rights Beyond the 2022 mid-term elections.
- “I think this is an opportunity for us to remember the importance of having a government that represents us, the need for good people in positions of power at all levels, and protecting key people, such as [Gov.] Gretchen Whitmer in Michigan, who has power at the state level,” Learman said.