COVID deaths are finally falling

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COVID-19 cases have been falling across the US for weeks – and now deaths are declining as well.

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why it matters: The delta wave may indeed be behind us, and although unvaccinated people in heavily vaccinated areas will always be at risk, keeping the virus under control will allow the entire nation to breathe a little easier this fall.

By numbers: The US is now reporting an average of about 102,000 new cases daily – a 22% drop over the past two weeks.

  • There is also a decline in deaths by an average of about 13% across the country. The virus is now killing about 1,800 Americans every day.
  • Deaths were increasing for the past few weeks, despite the infection being low. This is to be expected – death is the last number to go up when a new wave arrives, and the last number to go down when that wave arrives.

Reference: A year ago, when no one was vaccinated and the worst wave of the pandemic was just beginning, experts were sounding the alarm as cases topped 50,000.

  • Now sitting above 100,000 daily cases after millions of Americans have been vaccinated or have some level of immunity from previous infections, is a sign of how transmissible the delta version is and how poorly the US has kept it.
  • And while some vaccinated people do become infected, almost no one will die from those infections. But six months after every American adult has been eligible for the vaccine, the death toll from the virus in the US still roughly equals 9/11 every two days.

Bottom-line: The number of Americans who have contracted and died from COVID-19 is quite high, but things are moving in the right direction.

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