I am not very good at predicting the future. I’m right in front of my face kind of guy. So whenever I see rumors about phones and tablets coming to the iPhone 14, I’ll take them in, and if they seem reasonable, I’ll assume it’s just as good a guess as any other guess. But when John Prosser released a series of renders for the iPhone 14 a week before the reveal of the iPhone 13, parts of it gave me pause.
Actually, to say that he gave me pause is absurd. I flat out said that I didn’t believe him.
I’m just going to go ahead and say it now. I’m not buying today’s iPhone 14 leaks. Here’s my confidence level on a scale of 1-10.
No Camera Bump – 2
No Notch – 2
Titanium Body – 5
round button – whatever
Bookmark this tweet. Looks like nothing more than a fanboy’s wish list
— Adam “2020Too” Dowd (@DeadTechnology) September 8, 2021
Not Apple’s classic move
Apple generally doesn’t follow the crowd by iterating over a concept before landing on the final design. Quite the opposite – Apple waits until something goes right before implementing it. We’ve already seen under-screen cameras, the next step after hole-punch cameras, and my gut says Apple will wait for that technology to develop to the point where they’re good. Spoiler alert: The under-screen cameras just aren’t that good, as my colleague Ajay Kumar experienced on the Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 3.
It looks like Apple’s design language is further embracing the notch, having just introduced two new MacBooks with a notch. To me, this makes it look like it will be around for at least the foreseeable future. The notch may be part of its brand image as most Android phones have abandoned the notch in favor of the hole-punch. I’m not sure it makes sense for Apple to follow suit.
But lately, we have seen no less Three other experts Predict that FaceID will come as a hole-punch. Some reports indicate that the hole-punch may be bullet-shaped, which, if you ask me, feels less like a hole-punch and more like a notch with a cap. Whatever the case, when four different sources say Apple is going to do something, it might be wise to listen.
But that said, it doesn’t seem very Apple. Making a hole-punch pill-shape may be Apple iterating on established design practices, but I’m not sure it’s any better than that. The thing about Apple is that it has historically been slow to adopt features used elsewhere, but usually when it does, it improves those features. There are certainly exceptions to that rule; Anyone who has ever tried copy and paste on an iPhone knows.
So where does that leave us? Personally, despite predicting the whole world, I have to think that Apple will stick to its guns this fall and maintain the notch for a generation or two. The hole-punch is no better than the notch, and the bullet-shaped hole is even less. It just doesn’t feel like the right level of refinement Apple has been waiting for. I could be wrong, and it is becoming increasingly clear that I am probably wrong. Ultimately, we’ll have to wait and watch this fall to find out what Apple has up its sleeve for the iPhone 14.